Homework 5

1. I am using Intrade with the username Phantasyfin.

2.

1. A federal government run health insurance plan to be approved before midnight ET 31 Dec 2009


2. Average Global Temperature for 2009 to be among five warmest years on record


3. US Economy in Recession (*see contract rules for definition*)


4. The US Economy will go into Recession during 2009


5. Microsoft Windows 7 to be released on/before 31 Dec 2009


6. United States to conduct overt military action against North Korea on/before 31 Mar 2010


7. USA agrees before end of 2009 to reduce CO2 emissions by 10% or more by year 2025


8. Jennifer's Body to gross OVER $5.0M in opening weekend


9. A cap and trade system for emissions trading to be established before midnight ET on 31 Dec 2011


10. Osama Bin Laden to be captured/neutralised by 31 Mar 2010


11. Venue in North America to host the 2016 Summer Olympics

3.

1. Too high


2. Too low


3. Too low


4. Too low


5. Too low


6. Too high


7. Too low


8. Too low


9. Too high


10. Too low

4.

	#shares	price per share ($)	total per market ($)
a.	0	0	0
b.	20	5.45	109
c.	30	9.68	290.4
d.	15	9.8	147
e.	65	0.9	58.5
f.	0	0	0
g.	70	1.2	84
h.	10	2.5	25
i.	0	0	0
j.	52	5.49	285.4
Total:	$999.38

The letters a through j correspond to the listed market predictions in number 2 of the the homework.