Homework 3

1. Here's two graphs of the question results. -1 represents "Never"

2. One key difference in the Delphi method is that the responses and comments are completely anonymous. In class, we could see quite clearly who has given his response and in what way he has communicated it. Too, members of the group can revise their previous statements at any time.

3. One key weakness I find is that topics chosen to forecast are so diverse among the people in the class. It is unlikely everyone will be learned in what the other is interested. There's also a bandwagon effect from a lack of anonymity. E.g. a person more viewed more respectable may influence a vote in his favor while someone in disfavor could push others away from his vote. Anonymity could be developed in something such as a chat room with each member entering having a randomly assigned username. Ignorance of topics could be somewhat eliminated as well if a consensus is met on generally-known topics throughout the class.